🥊 Punch Promoter Analysis

Comprehensive Game Balance Report

Generated: 2026-04-29 17:41:29

18
Simulation Year
7,080
Total Boxers
59,407
Completed Fights
127/127
Checks Passed
Overall Status: Excellent
Pass Rate: 100%
Navigator

Pillar Overview

Click a pillar title to jump to that group, or use the section chips to jump to a specific report card.

Combat Engine
100%
27/27 checks
Fight OutcomesPunch & AccuracyFatigue & StaminaStyle & Matchup Balance
Boxer Lifecycle
100%
39/39 checks
Career LifecycleBoxer DevelopmentInjury SystemProspect GenerationAttribute Progression
Game Ecosystem
100%
46/46 checks
Rankings SystemChallenge SystemEligibility FunnelTitle/Belt SystemEconomy
Infrastructure
100%
12/12 checks
Seed ReadinessTraining Camps
Meta / Trends
100%
3/3 checks
Year-over-Year Trends
Pillar

Combat Engine

Fight outcome quality, accuracy, stamina behavior, and matchup balance.

🥊 Fight Outcomes

15/15 Checks
KO Rate
13.6% ✓
Target: 10%-25%
TKO Rate
35.4% •
Target: N/A
KO + TKO Rate
49.0% ✓
Target: 40%-60%
TKO Share Of Stoppages
72.2% ✓
Target: 60%-85%
Decision Rate
48.7% ✓
Target: 35%-55%
Draw Rate
2.3% ✓
Target: 1%-5%
Higher OVR Win Rate
66.5% ✓
Target: 60%-80%
Avg Knockdowns/Fight
2.0 ✓
Target: 1.0-3.0
KD Fight Rate
77.4% ✓
Target: 55%-80%
Multi KD Fight Rate
55.1% ✓
Target: 35%-60%
KD To KO/TKO Conversion
56.0% ✓
Target: 40%-60%
Decision Rate In KD Fights
42.4% •
Target: N/A
Avg Stoppage Round
5.2 ✓
Target: 4-8
Upset Rate (0 9 OVR)
39.4% ✓
Target: 28%-50%
Upset Rate (10 19 OVR)
21.3% ✓
Target: 8%-25%
Upset Rate (20 29 OVR)
5.5% ✓
Target: 2%-12%
Upset Rate (30+ OVR)
2.3% ✓
Target: 0.2%-4.0%
Stoppage Round Distribution
Upset Distribution
Upset Details
CategoryCount
Minor Upsets (5-10 OVR diff)5805
Major Upsets (10-20 OVR diff)3028
Massive Upsets (20+ OVR diff)102
Biggest Upset34 OVR difference

🎯 Punch & Accuracy

6/6 Checks
Jab Percentage
46.2% ✓
Target: 40%-55%
Body Punch %
22.8% ✓
Target: 18%-32%
Overall Accuracy
36.8% ✓
Target: 25%-38%
Jab Accuracy
37.1% ✓
Target: 25%-38%
Power Accuracy
33.7% ✓
Target: 30%-42%
Winner Outlanded %
75.8% ✓
Target: 60%-85%

🔋 Fatigue & Stamina

4/4 Checks
Low STA Late Stoppage Rate
10.4% ✓
Target: 5%-25%
Chin KD Protection
25.5% ✓
Target: 5%-40%
Chin KO/TKO Protection
24.9% ✓
Target: 5%-50%
Power Vs Chin KO Gap
21.2% ✓
Target: 10%-60%
Round-Level Fatigue
Fight Fatigue Telemetry

Tracked from 59,407 fights and 904,310 fighter-round rows.

RoundAvg EndAvg RoundAvg MinCeilingLow STA%
197.8103.895.1101.80.0%
291.196.688.494.70.2%
385.590.982.889.21.2%
481.186.478.484.92.4%
577.582.874.981.53.5%
674.779.972.178.94.5%
772.677.770.076.95.4%
870.976.068.375.36.1%
971.176.168.574.74.7%
1070.075.067.473.75.2%
1176.381.174.077.80.8%
1275.680.573.477.31.0%
Early Fade MetricValue
Avg End-Stamina Drop R1->R26.6
Avg Round-Stamina Drop R1->R27.1

📏 Style & Matchup Balance

0/0 Checks
Longer Reach Win Rate (≥5Cm)
56.0% •
Target: N/A
Longer Reach Win Rate (≥10Cm)
54.9% •
Target: N/A
Overall Reach Impact
12.0% •
Target: N/A
Taller Fighter Win Rate (≥5Cm)
55.7% •
Target: N/A
Longer Reach KO Edge
5.1% •
Target: N/A
Reach Details

Reach metrics are advisory-only right now and do not affect signoff.

MetricValue
Reach Sourcemeasured
Fights Analyzed59,407
Avg Reach Diff5.1 cm
Max Reach Diff36.0 cm
Avg Height Diff4.0 cm
Max Height Diff30.0 cm
Pillar

Boxer Lifecycle

How fighters enter, develop, age, decline, retire, and absorb system-wide health pressure.

📊 Career Lifecycle

6/6 Checks
Avg Career Fights
37.0 ✓
Target: 20-40
Median Career Fights
39.0 ✓
Target: 20-45
Avg Retirement Age
33.0 ✓
Target: 32-38
Avg Win Rate
45.7% •
Target: N/A
Undefeated Retire Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-8%
KO Loss Retirement Share
22.7% ✓
Target: 0%-70%
Veteran Club Fighter Share
11.7% ✓
Target: 10%-80%
Retirement Reasons
MetricValue
Total Boxers7,080
Active Boxers2,507
Retired Boxers4,573
Career Fights Range2 - 90
Retired Champions277
Active Club Fighters351
Veteran Active Club Fighters41/351
Retirement Reason Breakdown
ReasonCountPercentage
Age1,70337.2%
Health Decline1,58834.7%
KO Losses1,03722.7%
Combined Factors1252.7%
Losing Streak1202.6%
Retirement Age by Reason
ReasonAvg Age
Age36.9
Combined Factors27.8
Health Decline31.7
KO Losses30.1
Losing Streak23.6

📈 Boxer Development

7/7 Checks
Avg Peak Age
27.5 ✓
Target: 26-32
Avg Peak OVR
64.8 ✓
Target: 62-82
Avg Improvement
20.3 ✓
Target: 5-25
Negative Improvers %
0.0% ✓
Target: 0-30
Elite (90+ OVR) %
1.0% ✓
Target: 0-15
Max Peak OVR
96 ✓
Target: >= 80
P95 Active OVR
83.0 ✓
Target: 58-90
OVR by Age Group
Talent Profile Distribution
OVR by Age Group
Age GroupAvg OVR
Young (18-24)56.9
Prime (25-32)66.7
Veteran (33+)71.9
Talent Profile Distribution (Active)
ProfileCount
Technical1015
Balanced780
Physical712
Career Outcomes (Retired)
MetricCountPercentage
Negative Improvers (peak < start)00.0%
Elite (90+ OVR)471.0%

🏥 Injury System

5/5 Checks
Active Injury Rate
10.7% ✓
Target: 3%-20%
Avg Recovery Weeks
6.0 ✓
Target: 4-12
Avg Brain Health
86.2 ✓
Target: 70-98
Injuries by Category
MetricValue
Total Active Boxers2,507
Currently Injured268
Total Historical Injuries36,515
Avg Eye Health94.2
Avg Hand Health98.6
Injuries by Category
CategoryCount
Body1478
Cut7714
Hand5836
Head21487

🌟 Prospect Generation

8/8 Checks
Avg Prospects Per Year
168.0 ✓
Target: 120-168
Replacement Ratio
97.2% ✓
Target: 1-2
Avg STArting OVR
44.5 ✓
Target: 40-60
Active Same Division Collision Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0.0%-0.5%
Active Collision Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-3%
Historical Collision Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-5%
Country Distribution
92.5% ✓
Target: 80%-100%
Weight Class Balance
78.1% ✓
Target: 75%-100%
Active <55 OVR Share
22.9% •
Target: N/A
5+ Fight <55 OVR Share
13.5% •
Target: N/A
Lower-End Pool
MetricValue
Active <50 OVR306 (12.2%)
Active <55 OVR575 (22.9%)
5+ Fight Sample Size2171
5+ Fight <55 OVR Share13.5%
Bottom Quartile Active OVR55.0

⬆️ Attribute Progression

13/13 Checks
Development (Young)
32.6 ✓
Target: 2-40
Development (Veteran)
-1.8 ✓
Target: -4.00--0.50
Young Post Fight Gain/Fight
12.0 ✓
Target: 1-15
Prime Post Fight Gain/Fight
2.3 ✓
Target: 0-10
Veteran Post Fight Gain/Fight
1.1 ✓
Target: 0-2
Veteran Positive Attrs/Fight
1.0 ✓
Target: 0-2
Development Velocity (Year 1)
6.9 ✓
Target: 3-14
Training Pts/Year (Young)
3.6 ✓
Target: 2-15
Training Pts/Year (Prime)
1.5 ✓
Target: 0-8
Drive Impact (Peak OVR Gap)
12.8 ✓
Target: 10-25
Growth Coverage
96.3% ✓
Target: 50%-100%
Training Growth Share
9.4% ✓
Target: 5%-30%

Total Attribute Changes: 610,077 | Boxers Analyzed: 5,450

Development by Age Group
Age GroupAvg Change
Young (<28)+32.56
Prime (28-32)+3.70
Veteran (>32)-1.81
Attribute Change Breakdown
AttrGainsLossesNetTotal
HRT35517297+14277835814
WRK52031276+13101952307
PWP524951324+12413253819
STA479013034+11662950935
INS468601282+9206748142
BDY340713102+8081337173
PWR408583429+7633144287
REF269593839+6401630798
DEF345281272+5972035800
AGG192200+5326419220
JAB307531342+5230432095
FTW318711385+4800133256
IQ32226296+4691732522
CTR292861347+4363730633
SPD236872909+3858826596
REC224966794+2556129290
CUT05881-95555881
CHN2311486-1783911509

Total CHN Declines: 11,486

Category Development Rates
CategoryYoung (<28)Prime (28-32)Veteran (>32)
Physical+2.35+0.35-0.73
Technical+2.05+0.73-0.61
Mental+3.61+0.98-0.12
Drive Impact on Peak OVR
Drive BracketAvg Peak OVR
1-562.2
6-1067.5
11-1570.2
16-2075.0

Drive Impact Gap (16-20 vs 1-5): +12.8 OVR

Changes by Trigger
Peak Performance
MetricValue
Avg OVR at Entry45.0
Avg Peak OVR63.2
Avg Improvement+18.3
Pillar

Game Ecosystem

Rankings, challenges, eligibility, title churn, and broader competitive world behavior.

🏆 Rankings System

10/10 Checks
Avg Champion OVR
85.8 ✓
Target: 72-95
Top 10 Annual Turnover
43.7% ✓
Target: 25%-70%
Rank OVR Correlation
72.2% ✓
Target: 30%-80%
Tier 1 Avg OVR (1 10)
83.3 ✓
Target: 68-92
Tier 2 Avg OVR (11 30)
77.4 •
Target: N/A
Tier 3 Avg OVR (31+)
60.4 ✓
Target: 48-70
Effective Std Dev (Elo+Rep)
206.1 ✓
Target: 150-500
Zero Fight In Top 30 (Mature Classes)
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Top 100 Under 3 Fights
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-10%
Rank Admission & Reputation
MetricValue
Zero-Fight Top 100 (advisory, thin-class artifact)0
Median Fights in Top 10028.0
Avg Ranking Rep (Top 10)218.8
Avg Ranking Rep (Top 100)-39.7
Avg Ranking Rep (Debuts)-220.0
Ranking Rep Std Dev129.0

⚔️ Challenge System

9/9 Checks
Avg Challengers (Top 10)
5.6 ✓
Target: 1-150
Avg Fights Per Year
2.9 ✓
Target: 2-6
Avg OVR Diff
6.9 ✓
Target: 0-15
Mismatched Fights (>20 OVR)
2.5% ✓
Target: 0%-15%
Tier 2 Regional Fights (Non Title)
96.6% ✓
Target: 50%-100%
Tier 1 International Fights
55.2% ✓
Target: 10%-80%
Rematch Rate
22.5% ✓
Target: 0%-25%
First 5 Fights Avg OVR Diff
8.7 •
Target: N/A
First 5 Vs <=55 OVR
51.9% •
Target: N/A
First 5 Vs Top 100
9.4% •
Target: N/A
P95 Rank Gap (Both Ranked)
30.0 •
Target: N/A
Unranked Participation
0.0% •
Target: N/A

Challenge Flow

StatusCount
Total100504
Finalized100213
Finalized Rate99.7%
First Five Fight Matchmaking
MetricValue
Samples15065
Avg OVR Diff8.7
Vs <=55 OVR Opponents51.9%
Vs Top 100 Opponents9.4%
Rank Gap (Non-Title Fights)
MetricValue
Avg (all fights, 999 fill)11.4
Median (both ranked)9.0
P95 (both ranked)30.0
Both-Ranked Sample55988
Fights with Unranked Participant0.0%

🧭 Eligibility Funnel

3/3 Checks
Avg Rank Eligible Opponents
8.4 ✓
Target: 5-50
Stranded Ranked Boxers
1.4% ✓
Target: 0%-5%
Tier 5 Eligible Opponents
8.3 ✓
Target: 3-100
Eligibility Bottlenecks
Eligibility Pool Metrics
MetricValue
World Champions Excluded13
Avg Same-Weight Pool207.6
Avg Active & Available137.4
Avg Ranked Opponents137.4
Ranked Boxers with 0 Eligible34
Ranked Boxers with 1-3 Eligible473
Unranked Boxers0 (0.0%)

👑 Title/Belt System

21/21 Checks
Vacancy Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-20%
World Vacancy Claims
60 ✓
Target: 150
Avg Defenses Per Reign
1.78 ✓
Target: 0-5
Avg Reign Length
36.3w ✓
Target: 20-80
Avg Weeks Between Defenses
21.1 ✓
Target: 8-30
Max World Title Gap
29 ✓
Target: <= 52
Belts Over 52W Gap
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Champion Turnover (Annual, Advisory)
215.4% ✓
Target: 0-2
Belt Turnover (Annual)
141.7% ✓
Target: 0-2
Avg Belts / World Champion
3.7 •
Target: N/A
Unified Champion Share
100.0% •
Target: N/A
Unification Fight Share
8.5% •
Target: N/A
Champions Lost Last Fight + Still Hold
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Champion Last Fight Belt Coverage
100.0% ✓
Target: 100%-100%
Champion Fight Belt Coverage
100.0% ✓
Target: 100%-100%
Title Fight Share
5.8% ✓
Target: 2%-15%
Explicit Title Classification
100.0% ✓
Target: 100%-100%
Title Inference Leaks
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Non Title Belt Leaks
0 ✓
Target: N/A
World Champion Non World Fights
0 ✓
Target: N/A
World Vacant Multi Belt Fights
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Completed World Reigns
1129 ✓
Target: >= 24
Retired World Champions
277 ✓
Target: >= 1
Total Title Defense Parity Mismatches
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Completed Fights by Class
Completed Title Fights by Source
Title System Metrics
MetricValue
Total World Belts48
Held Belts48
Vacant Belts0
Total Reigns (Historical)1177
Completed Reigns1129
Champion-Group Changes (Last Year)28
Belt Changes (Last Year)68
Unique New World Champions (Last Year)25
Belt Turnover (Annual)141.67%
Unique Champion Turnover (Annual)192.31%
Avg Belts / World Champion3.69
Unified Champions13/13 (100.0%)
Multi-Belt World Title Fights811/3419 (23.7%)
Unification Fights290/3419 (8.5%)
Avg Reign Length36.3 weeks
P95 World-Title Gap16.0 weeks
Avg Champion OVR85.8
Champion Last-Fight Belt Links48/48
Champion Fight Belt Links3185/3185
Retired World Champions277
Estimated Deadline Vacates112
World Vacant Multi-Belt Fights0
Title Fights vs Top-3 Challenger499/961 (51.9%)
Completed Fights by Class
Fight ClassCount
Regional Non Title50671
Global Non Title2950
Regional Title1823
General Non Title1697
World Title843
World Eliminator670
Regional Vacant635
World Vacant118
Completed Title Fights by Source
Scheduler SourceCount
Occupied Regional Title1485
Occupied World Title843
Vacant Regional Title635
World Eliminator314
Vacant World Title118
Regional Open Non Title23
Global Non Title1
Champion Fights by Source
Scheduler SourceCount
Occupied World Title843
Vacant World Title112
World Champion Non-World Fights by Source
Scheduler SourceCount
N/A

💰 Economy

3/3 Checks
Earnings Gini
60.2% ✓
Target: 35%-70%
Champion Earnings Ratio
10.2 ✓
Target: 3-12
Top 10% Earnings Share
53.4% ✓
Target: 25%-60%
MetricValue
Total Boxers7,080
Boxers with Earnings6,912
Avg Earnings$35,219
Median Earnings$17,885
Champion Avg Earnings$239,270
Non-Champion Avg Earnings$23,348
Pillar

Infrastructure

Operational readiness checks for seeds, camps, and signoff gating.

🌱 Seed Readiness

9/9 Checks
Canonical Data Mode
canonical ✓
Target: canonical
Scheduled Fights
294 ✓
Target: >= 1
Active Training Camps
615 ✓
Target: >= 1
Pending Challenges
100 ✓
Target: >= 1
Champion Next Fight Coverage
100.0% ✓
Target: 75%-100%
Champion Next Fight Is World Title
100.0% ✓
Target: 100%-100%
Due World Belt Coverage
100.0% ✓
Target: 75%-100%
Regional Champion Next Fight Coverage
100.0% •
Target: N/A
Regional Champion Title Fight Coverage
100.0% •
Target: N/A
Resting 0W Count
0 ✓
Target: N/A
Signoff Eligible
Yes ✓
Target: canonical + all seed gates

Operational seed gates are visible in the cards above; deeper provenance stays tucked away here.

Simulation Provenance
ProvenanceValue
Data Modecanonical
Simulation Enginerust-native-weekly
Simulation Seed42
Total Years40
Measured Years18
Warm-up Years22
Analysis Start Week1057
Current Week1921
Current Analysis Year18
World Champions13
Champions Needing Next Fight0
Champions With Next Fight0
Champions With World-Title Next Fight0
Due Held World Belts4
Due Held World Belts With Booked Fight4
Regional Champions44
Regional Champions Needing Next Fight3
Regional Champions With Next Fight3
Regional Champions With Title Next Fight3
Regional Champion Avg Idle Weeks9.8
Regional Champion Max Idle Weeks24

🏕️ Training Camps

3/3 Checks
Avg Total Bonus (Completed)
2.5 ✓
Target: 1-25
Zero Bonus Camp Rate
0.0% ✓
Target: 0%-5%
Camp Completion Rate
99.4% ✓
Target: 70%-100%
MetricValue
Total Camps120,456
Active Camps615
Completed Camps119,097
Cancelled Camps744
Avg Weeks Completed4.9
Fight Coverage100.0%
Focus Usage100.0%
Pillar

Meta / Trends

Long-run drift and stability signals across years rather than individual fights or careers.